Construction sector focussed on cost control as growth outlook remains subdued in second half of the year

Wednesday 2nd November 2022

Despite a modest pickup this quarter, the growth outlook for businesses in the construction sector in the second half of the year has been relatively subdued in comparison to the first half.

In Q1, 39% of small businesses predicted either significant or modest growth in the next three months. Since then, this figure dropped to a two-year low of 19% in Q3’22, before recovering slightly to 29% in Q4’22.

Meanwhile, the proportion of construction businesses anticipating a period of either modest or significant decline has risen slightly in the second part of the year from a low of 10% in Q2’22 to 15% this quarter.

Outlook for the next three months of small businesses in construction sector

Q1'22

Q2'22

Q3'22

Q4'22

Significant expansion

1%

3%

2%

3%

Modest organic growth

37%

32%

16%

26%

Stay the same/ no change

47%

53%

66%

50%

Contract/ scale down

8%

6%

7%

11%

Struggle to survive

3%

4%

6%

4%

Don't know

4%

2%

2%

6%

Net growth

39%

35%

19%

29%

Net decline

11%

10%

13%

15%

Battening down the hatches

Reflecting this less confident outlook, the ways companies were looking to grow their businesses in the next six months has focused on cost controls. Compared with the start of the year (Q1’22) there has been a significant rise in the proportion of companies focused on keeping fixed costs down (from 30% in Q1’22 to 41% in Q3’22), or being strict about getting paid on time (from 15% in Q1 to 33% in Q3).

Over the same time period, the proportion of construction businesses actively investing has fallen. For example, the proportion of small businesses investing in new equipment went from 20% in Q1 to 12% in Q3. Similarly, the proportion hiring more people went from 24% in Q1 to 11% in Q3.

Staffing shortages dominate list of worries

Asking business leaders about the problems they face that were keeping them awake at night, the areas where construction businesses stood out from other sectors included concerns about general economic volatility (40% versus 36% average), bad debts (27% versus 10% average) and the public health impact of Covid on their business (30% vs 25% average).

Also notable were the concerns about skill gaps and staff shortages. Here, around a fifth (21%) of small business leaders had concerns about this in comparison to 17% of small business leaders nationally. Similarly, asking about the challenges they face that were holding their business back, again skilled labour was one area of particular concern for construction bosses. Here, 28% said they were held back because of the cost of skilled labour in comparison to 16% on average. Other major concerns included Brexit and the economic impact on their business (23%) and general market uncertainty (30%).

Focus on UK markets as business potential from Europe falls

Looking at the global regions where businesses in the construction sector were looking for growth opportunities, comparing the answers from Q3 2021 to Q3 2022 there has been a notable slide in the proportion of businesses looking to Europe and a subsequent increase in the proportion of businesses focused solely on the UK.

In 2021, one in six businesses were looking to the EU for potential growth opportunities. By 2022, this figure had fallen 13% to 4%. Meanwhile, four European countries not in the EU, the same trend was seen (10% in 2021 falling to 3% in 2022).

Similarly, other drops were seen in Japan, East Asia and the Pacific (8% falling to 0%) and in the Middle East (7% to 2%).

By contrast, the proportion of businesses looking to the UK for growth opportunities increased from 87% to 94% in 2022.

Areas where Construction small businesses see areas of potential growth

2021

2022

+/-

UK

87%

94%

7%

North America

7%

2%

-4%

South America

0%

2%

2%

The Caribbean

0%

2%

2%

The EU, not including the UK

17%

4%

-13%

European countries, not in the EU

10%

3%

-8%

Russia

4%

0%

-4%

China

2%

2%

0%

Japan, East Asia & the Pacific

8%

0%

-8%

India & Southern Asia

2%

4%

2%

Middle East

7%

2%

-4%

North Africa

0%

0%

0%

Sub-Saharan Africa

4%

0%

-4%

Australia & New Zealand

4%

2%

-2%

Two thirds reliant on finance for plans

The results showed that 63% of construction small businesses had plans that would require finance this year. Top of the list, 22% planned to invest in new vehicles (compared with 11% of all small businesses on average). One in six (17%) said they were using finance to help run a marketing or advertising campaign, while one and seven (14%) are using finance to increase the headcount. Again, cash flow issues featured here as well with one in nine (11%) small businesses requiring finance in order to pay suppliers on time.

Two thirds of construction businesses working on sustainability plans

Small businesses in the construction sector are more likely than the national average to be working on a sustainability plan. The results showed that 61% of construction small businesses have a plan to improve their sustainability over the next 12 months, compared with 56% average.

The main areas included looking at improving sustainable profitability of the business (32%), invest in staff education and training on areas of sustainability (33%) and cutting back on waste and packaging (22%).

Construction businesses were more likely than average to make use of solar or renewable energy within their business (15% vs 10% average), or using electric or green hydrogen vehicles (14% versus 11% average).

Businesses in this sector are more likely than average to discuss green issues at senior management meetings (25% versus 17%). A fifth (20%) have a staff suggestions box while 15% have green initiatives for staff such as bike and car shares.

Despite starting the year positively, maintaining a strong growth outlook has been a challenge for many small businesses in the construction sector. A combination of challenging factors including rising inflation, soaring energy prices and the cost-of-living crisis have all had an impact in the past six months. This uncertainty presents significant challenges for business leaders in this sector.

The reaction to this from small businesses has been swift and bullish. A significant increase in businesses taking control of their finances, tackling late payments and cash flow problems in preparation for harsh times ahead is encouraging and exactly what is needed. While short term plans are essential at the moment, it is important not to lose sight of the longer term horizon too to ensure businesses can accelerate out of the starting blocks once the storm has passed.

Longer term plans include initiatives to improve sustainability and reduce carbon emissions. While it is encouraging that so many are taking this issue seriously, there is a long way to go before we are on the right course. Taking control of this, and creating a course for a business that is both profitable and sustainable, is a win-win for businesses and the broader environment.

Jo Morris

Head of Insight

Novuna Business Finance

Notes to editors

All figures, unless otherwise stated, are from YouGov Plc.  Total sample size was 1140 Senior Decision Makers in Small Businesses. The survey was carried out online. The figures have been weighted and are representative of all Senior Decision Makers in Small Businesses

Dates of the fieldwork for the research used in this report:

Q1

4th - 19th January 2022

Q2

28th March - 11th April 2022

Q3

28th June - 6th July 2022

Q4

20th September - 4th October 2022

Further tables

 

Q1'22

Q3'22

 +/-

Improving cash flow

22%

21%

-1%

Being stricter with getting paid on time (e.g. from clients)

15%

33%

18%

Keeping fixed costs down

30%

41%

12%

Securing financing to replace a vital business asset(s)

1%

4%

3%

Investing in new equipment

20%

12%

-8%

Streamlining supply chain

9%

6%

-3%

Seeking financial funding via a partner/ company other than our bank

3%

4%

1%

Moving to a different location/ bigger office

6%

6%

-1%

Expanding into new markets/ overseas

11%

10%

-1%

Reassessing finance commitments

15%

8%

-7%

Hiring more people

24%

11%

-13%

None of these

26%

34%

8%

Don't know

5%

1%

-4%